The news and information that matters to real estate, small business and alternative investors.

Friday, May 2, 2008

Hispanic Culture: Embrace It And Prosper

America is embracing Hispanic culture, and investors should too. The Hispanic population is the fastest growing segment of the U.S. population, and according to the most recent Census Bureau release Hispanics now comprise 15 percent of the total population or some 45 million people. Furthermore, it is projected that by 2050 Hispanics will make up 25 percent of the total U.S. population. There are numerous ways in which investors can embrace and profit from the emergence of Hispanic culture in America. I will mention a couple.

Real estate investors in particular can capitalize on this trend is by making their rental properties more Hispanic-friendly. Advertise and use signage with both English and Spanish. If you are having a property manager service your property, why not find one that is bi-lingual? A bi-lingual property manager would be able to capitalize on both English and Spanish speaking tenants, offering you more coverage. Depending on your location—California and Texas in particular—you might think about pulling out all the stops to make your rental Hispanic-friendly.

There are many businesses one could start that take advantage of this growth. One of the more interesting ones to my mind was included in our Business Ideas article, namely the creation of bi-lingual call centers in Latin America that service the U.S. population. There is a plethora of bi-lingual natives in Central America in particular that offer cheap labor. How long do you think it will be before U.S. companies stop outsourcing call center business to places like India, where labor is rapidly becoming more expensive? In addition to rising costs in places like India, there is also the difference in time zones, which isn’t a problem in Latin America. Labor might be a tad more expensive, but it is well worth it when you can have employees who speak the top two languages in the U.S. and who reside in the same time zone as you.

No matter what business or type of investment you’re in, there is probably a way which you can better cater to the Hispanic population. Investors who embrace this culture stand to do well in coming years, while those who ignore it could have serious regrets.

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Monday, April 28, 2008

Tax Rebate Checks Are In The Mail: Well Maybe…

It appears that the first set of tax rebate checks are in the mail and should be received by people shortly. So if you are wondering when to expect your tax rebate check--and how much it will be for--check out the resources below.

To find out how much you will be receiving, the IRS has put together a handy tax rebate check calculator that can help make this determination: http://www.irs.gov/app/espc/

To figure out when you will be receiving your tax rebate check, see the payment schedule on the IRS website: http://www.irs.gov/irs/article/0,,id=180250,00.html

Now that you’ve figured out how much you’ll be getting and when it will be arriving, the next step is to figure out what to do with it. There are many ideas floating around out there for how to spend your new-found wealth, some of them better than others. It is for this reason that NuWire has decided to put together their own list of the top ways to spend--or better yet, invest--your tax rebate checks. Look for the article later this week.

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Analyzing Investment Hype

There is a lot of hype in the investment world. Here is a good example:

http://www.isecureonline.com/Reports/PSF/EPSFJ320/?o=1473323&u=16012317&l=844775

It appears that this newsletter author has some interesting ideas about how to filter through the mass of penny stocks available and choose ones with a decent likelihood of gaining value. I don’t object to this kind of analysis. It’s the kind of filter I would expect to be employed by someone publishing an investment selection newsletter. I do, however, object to some of the language used to market this opportunity.

Here are a few words used in this advertisement that I think are telling:

  • “Scientifically selected:” What does science have to do with selecting stocks? Scientific experiments require control groups that allow scientists to observe behavior when specific variables are changed. In that way scientists can make theories about the effect each of these variables has on the outcome (results). Looking at historical numbers of stock prices incorporates so many variables (buyer psychology, societal values, access to capital, other investment alternatives, inflation, etc.) that it would be nearly impossible to control for even a few.


  • “Winnings:” This word implies that you aren’t earning a return, but hitting a jackpot at the casino. Part of me wonders whether this was careful calculation on the part of the author and his attorneys in case an investor ever takes them to court for misleading claims of returns.


  • “Theoretical:” Using historical performance to build models for predicting the future is not a new concept, but it has hardly proven successful over the long run. This author is clearly communicating that there wasn’t an actual person turning $200 into $1.2 million. Rather, this is an example of what an investor could have done with perfect foresight.


  • “Ordinary investor:” This implies that you don’t need to have any experience with or knowledge of penny stocks. Rather, by just following this author’s monthly recommendations, you can make these huge returns. I understand that risk disclaimers do not make effective marketing material, but I doubt this author will take liability if the investments don’t pan out. Oh, and it’s helpful that “ordinary investors” typically do much less due diligence about claims of returns than “extraordinary investors.”

For the record, I’m always wary of promoters that advertise such high potential returns. If this author were assured of his ability to double money in six months, he would be working adverse to his own economic interests by sharing this information. While I’m all for believing there is some altruism left in the world, I haven’t seen many instances of people not wanting their fair share of value they help create. This author, if his claims are correct, would do much better to start his own hedge fund and rake in billions in profits and bonuses risking other people’s money. The fact that he is writing a newsletter instead makes me a little skeptical.

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    Property Taxes On The Rise Across The Country

    Property taxes are on the rise across the country as local governments are feeling the effects of the economic downturn. According to an article in the Wall Street Journal, property taxes account for around 40 percent of municipal governments' funding. Falling property values coupled with higher material costs have caused local governments to feel the pinch; they are now preparing to pass that on to homeowners.

    The article it pointed out a few cities which are working to raise property taxes. One of the largest cities was Memphis, Tennessee. The mayor of Memphis is proposing a 17 percent increase in property taxes, according to the article. This was one of the larger proposed increases, but if this measure actually gets passed, it will surely have a huge impact on homeowners and investors in Memphis.

    Property taxes are one of the harder expenses for real estate investors to swallow because they typically own several properties and can feel as if they are paying more than their fair share. The taxes go towards things such as roads and schools, which can help bring in quality tenants, but the immediate benefit to investors is less than it is for the typical homeowner. Investors usually can pass on property taxes to their tenants through the rent, but when property taxes are raised, investors are many times forced to eat the difference, especially if they are locked into a fixed-term lease. One of the benefits of typical commercial property leases are that landlords are able to pass on any increases in expenses directly to the tenants.

    Residential landlords might want to think about taking a page out of the commercial investor’s book and put a clause in their contracts which allow for a bump in the rent if property taxes are raised. After all it is only fair for the tenants to pay for the added expense since they are the ones directly benefiting from the services provided by property tax revenues.

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    Money Markets Paying More Than CDs

    Bank of America recently rolled out a money market savings account paying a higher interest rate than their four month CDs. What that tells me is that Bank of America is counting on further interest rate reductions from the Federal Reserve.

    Perhaps now that B of A owns Countrywide, they have an ever better crystal ball for seeing the extent the subprime shakedown. They are casting their bet that the Fed will continue to drop rates. Where are you casting yours?

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    Friday, April 25, 2008

    Costco And Sam’s Club Memberships: Are They An Investment?

    Typically I would shy away from calling things such as Costco and Sam’s Club memberships “investments,” but in light of recent events they might just be entering into that category. I read an article from the Wall Street Journal yesterday that opened my eyes to the concept. In the article, it is explained that food prices are increasing by so much that it makes sense for people to stock pile non-perishable food rather than put that money into savings or money market accounts.

    According to the article, food inflation for the average American household is running around 4.5 percent right now. Many foods are seeing price increases much higher than that. Cereal prices are rising by more than 8 percent a year, and flour and rice are up more than 13 percent. Milk, cheese, bananas and peanut butter are all up by more than 10 percent. Eggs have increased 30 percent in the past year and ground beef and chicken prices are up 4.8 percent and 5.4 percent respectively.

    It is obviously not possible to stock up on perishable items such as milk and eggs, but you can buy extra cereal, rice and flour. You certainly aren’t going to make 13 percent on any bank account, so in actuality using some of your savings to purchase extra food might not be such a bad idea, or investment, for that matter.

    That is where the Costco and Sam’s Club memberships come in. These warehouse stores offer much better prices than typical grocery stores; the catch is that you have to buy large quantities of the items. If you are planning to stock up on certain staple goods, you can save money by buying at these stores. So let's say you can save 5 percent off of the items you purchase at Costco or Sam’s Club over your neighborhood grocery store (though, in my experience, buying in bulk at these stores should save you much more than that)--now your “investment” looks that much better. Instead of making a 13 percent return on your money, purchasing your rice now actually could earn you 18 percent. Obviously those numbers don’t take into account the cost of your membership, or any subsequent storage or other costs which may be associated with holding the extra food, but I think you get the picture.

    Also, as an added bonus, you will be in good shape in the event of a complete economic collapse, as many Ron Paul supporters are predicting.

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    Wednesday, April 23, 2008

    Buying A Short Sale? Think Again…

    If you are planning on buying a short sale, you might want to re-think that plan. According to an article in Reuters, real estate agents across the country are calling the short sale system broken. Lenders have unreal expectations of property values, and even if their values are in line with the market, they are often so overloaded with properties that dealing with them becomes impossible. From personal experience I’m going to have to agree with their assessment.

    On the surface short sales appear to be a win-win-win strategy for the seller, buyer and the bank, yet trying to complete one tends to be a losing proposition. Until lenders change how they manage their short sale process investors are probably better off spending their time and efforts elsewhere. Don’t get me wrong, money can be made in short sales, but the time and energy taken to complete these deals can be better used on other investment opportunities which are just as good, if not better.

    I have personally gone through the short sale process in order to buy one of my investment homes, and I can say it was the most stressful deal I’ve ever been a part of. Dealing with the lender was a complete nightmare, and the deal nearly fell through at the last minute. I would say that the time and effort I put into this one investment deal was at least double the time and effort required for a typical deal, and the profit was basically the same. I tried it once, and I’m not going back--I recommend you do the same. Unless you have some relationship with a lender that gives you an advantage over the average Joe, buying a short sale just isn’t worth the effort.

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    Tuesday, April 22, 2008

    Remodeling: Cost Vs. Value

    Investors who are looking to remodel homes for resale should always keep in mind the cost vs. value of the alterations. For example, remodeling a kitchen is worth considerably more than remodeling a spare bedroom. But what about deciding between a deck and a bathroom upgrade? Is better to replace the windows or do a new roof? Investors who are pondering these questions can refer to the remodeling Cost vs. Value guide issued by Remodeling magazine each year. There are also some additional considerations investors should keep in mind.

    The remodeling Cost vs. Value guide is a helpful resource for investors, as it helps put a figure on what the actual value of a particular remodel is compared to its cost. For example, the 2007 Cost vs. Value guide says that adding a deck costs an average of $10,347 nationwide, but only increases the home’s value an average of $8,835. That means that every dollar spent on a new deck equals a loss of 0.146 cents, which on the surface would appear to be a poor investment. As most real estate investors know, though, real estate numbers should not be looked at nationally because real estate differs widely from one city to another and even from one neighborhood to another.

    To help with this, Remodeling provides regional and even city-specific numbers, although their regions are large, so investors would do best to focus on the city-specific figures. For example, a deck remodel on average nationally returns 85.4 percent compared to an average in the Pacific region of 108 percent and an average of 120.4 percent in Seattle. So you can see how much the cost vs. value of repairs can change depending on coverage area of the data. But investors shouldn’t stop their analysis there.

    Investors must always take into account the specific neighborhood and the types of homes surrounding the home they are remodeling. A major upscale kitchen remodel might return an average of 99.2 percent of its costs in the city of Seattle, yet if this remodel was done to a home in a bad neighborhood, the returns would be significantly less than that. When remodeling for investment, you should always make sure to keep the upgrades within the norm of the neighborhood. As an investor, you never want to be stuck with the nicest house in the neighborhood.

    Used correctly, the cost vs. value data provided by Remodeling can be valuable, but investors need to add their own common sense and analysis to the equation as well.

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    Friday, April 18, 2008

    Commercial Properties: Best Places To Find Them On The Web

    Commercial properties are something that many investors consider investing in, however, finding listings online can prove to more difficult than your traditional single-family homes. Commercial properties such as mobile home parks, offices, retail spaces and hotels, and residential properties in excess of four units usually aren’t listed on the MLS alongside single-family homes, but instead are advertised on a handful of websites.

    By far the biggest and best site to find commercial properties is LoopNet. Any investors looking to enter the commercial real estate market should familiarize themselves with this site, as they will probably become frequent visitors. Viewing basic listings is free, but to see the complete inventory you need to sign up for one of LoopNet’s membership packages, which start at $39.95 a month. Most of the listings can be viewed for free, so if you are just casually window shopping, it probably isn’t worth the expense. Once you come to the point where you are ready to seriously consider buying a commercial property, you can become a member at least temporarily. Many commercial real estate agents have memberships to LoopNet, so you might also try asking your agent to send the desired listings to you and save yourself the trouble and expense.

    Many commercial real estate brokerages also provide listings, although some of the brokerages simply pull them from LoopNet. Some of the larger commercial real estate companies are: Grubb & Ellis, RE/MAX, Coldwell Banker Commercial, CB Richard Ellis, Cushman & Wakefield, Colliers and Marcus & Millichap.

    I recommend starting with LoopNet, but for those who want to try other commercial property listing sites, here are a few:

    As a last note, some areas of the country have local commercial MLS systems. The Pacific Northwest for example, has CBA (Commercial Brokers Association) otherwise known as the Commercial MLS. They offer a wide variety of listings in Washington, Oregon and Idaho. To see if your market has a local commercial MLS, search online using “your state” and “commercial real estate” as the search term, or simply ask a local commercial real estate agent.

    Good luck finding your next commercial property investment, and if you notice any other good sites that I missed, let me know and I’ll add them.

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    Tuesday, April 15, 2008

    Sure Hope You Weren’t Banking On That Home Equity Line Of Credit (HELOC)

    Many people have set up a home equity line of credit (HELOC) to use in case of emergency or as a cash flow buffer for their businesses. Many investors even use their HELOC to buy foreclosures or international properties. All of these individuals may need to rethink their strategies. Several lenders have recently begun freezing borrowers' HELOC accounts without warning and without disclosing the reason for the freeze to the homeowners, according to an article in the New York Times. Washington Mutual, Indy Mac and the GreenPoint Mortgage unit of Capital One are specifically mentioned in the article.

    According to the banks, the measures are being taken to protect themselves from declining property values, but even homeowners in markets which have not seen declines in value have been affected. These markets include: Yakima, Wash.; Appleton, Wisc.; Raleigh-Cary, N.C.; and Champaign-Urbana, Ill. So if you think you are protected because you are in a market thus far unaffected by the housing bubble, think again.

    This news will be hard on those who were banking on using their HELOC for their business, investments or tax payment, who are now simply out of luck. The banks are within their rights to do this, and considering the housing market it is surprising they didn’t do it sooner, but the negative impact on the economy will surely be felt.

    Let this also be a warning to those who were counting on the equity in their home to save them in the event something bad was to happen: Home equity is not a substitute for savings.

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    Monday, April 14, 2008

    Investment And Health Savings Accounts (HSAs)

    Health savings accounts (HSAs) are becoming more common as businesses across the U.S. place more of the onus of health care costs on their employees. As a result employees are now faced with a problem of not only learning the health insurance side of these new accounts, but also the investment side of Health Savings Accounts. Read our article, Health Savings Account (HSA) Basics, if you aren’t already familiar with HSAs.

    My company recently switched to an HSA plan, so I thought I would share some of what I have learned.

    Some investors may welcome the switch to an HSA plan because it offers the potential to generate returns inside the account. Money going into the HSA account is pre-tax, and as long as the money is spent on medical expenses, the money (and any gains generated inside the account) is also tax-free when you spend it. Sounds pretty amazing, right?

    HSA providers typically offer several investment options to account holders, ranging from a basic money market fund to several different types of index funds. The HSA account my company offers gives us the option to keep the funds in a money market to which we can charge medical expenses directly via a debit card, or to invest in one of 13 Vanguard index funds. Most investors would probably think this is a no-brainer, and the Vanguard funds are the way to go. That was certainly my first reaction, but then I started to think of some potential drawbacks.

    The first potential pitfall of investing in the funds is the time and convenience factor. With the Vanguard option, you are not able to get a debit card, and to get reimbursed for any expenses you must prove the legitimacy of the claims with receipts and other paperwork. In addition, it will take time to sell out your positions and issue a reimbursement check.

    The second issue is the volatility of index funds, which are not guaranteed and may lose value. In the long term, most investors accept this risk, because historically the market has trended up over time. However, what if you get in a major accident next month and the market just lost 15 percent of its value? Some health expenses are just unpredictable. If you have a healthy savings account on the side you may be able to overcome this potential hurdle, but if you are relying on your HSA funds, you must make sure they are there when you need them.

    If you are like most Americans and don’t have much in the way of extra savings, then you are probably better off keeping your HSA investments in a money market fund or low-risk bond fund--at least until you get the balance of your account high enough to cover your deductible. If you have a cushion to fall back on, then it is probably safe to invest in those higher-risk funds.

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    Thursday, April 10, 2008

    Pawn Shops: Profiting In Times Of Financial Hardship

    Pawn shops are ringing up big profits in the midst of a faltering U.S. economy. As people struggle to make ends meet, they have increasingly turned to pawn shops for fast cash. Pawn shops historically do not offer the best terms on loans, or the best prices for sold items, so it is ominous that people are turning to pawn shops en masse. This is a trend that is very typical in times of financial hardship though.

    Investors who wish to profit from this trend could invest in stock of a large pawn shop company, such as Cash America (CSH) which is traded on the New York Stock Exchange, buy an existing pawn shop, or open a new pawn shop.

    Online pawn shops are an emerging trend, as even brick and mortar pawn shops are now selling inventory for a higher amount on EBay. Low overhead can mean higher profits for online pawn shops, and also allows them to offer customers more money for their valuables or better terms on loans. In addition online pawn shops are able to offer their services to a wider geographic area. It appears clear to me that the future of pawn shops is on the Web.

    If you ever were thinking of getting into the pawn shop business, then now is the time. If you prefer a brick and mortar business, and don’t want the added hassles of a startup company, there are also pawn shop franchises available. Two of these franchise opportunities are Cash America and PeoplePawn.

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    Wednesday, April 9, 2008

    Think Barack Obama Is Going To Be The Next President? Wanna Make A Bet?

    If you are so confident that your candidate—be it Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton, Ron Paul or John McCain—will become the next President of the United States, then why don’t you put your money where your mouth is? To show just how far the free market has come, there is now a website that allows you to make money by betting on the outcome of world events from the U.S. presidential race to whether or not Venezuela or Ecuador will declare war on Colombia. The company, which operates out of Ireland, is called Intrade. The website offers a trading platform similar to the U.S. stock exchange, but traders on Intrade buy and sell options on things most people might consider a bit out of the ordinary.

    Investors who consider placing bets on Intrade should keep in mind that Intrade is still a small marketplace. This means that positions can be volatile and may be difficult to close out of. Therefore, Intrade should not make up a large portion of an investment portfolio, and should probably be viewed more in terms of entertainment than an actual investment.

    Smart investors may be able to profit from some of the holes in the Intrade system and capitalize on the small marketplace. According to an article by The New York Times, a professional poker player named Serge Ravitch made a 35 percent return on his money in just 6 weeks by identifying these weaknesses. One trade he took advantage of was based on the Republican Presidential nomination, which more than 10 percent of traders on Intrade thought would go to Ron Paul. No one in the Republican Party—or any party for that matter—was giving Ron Paul a prayer to win the nomination. Because of the market’s small size, the diehard supporters of Ron Paul raised the percentages in his favor higher than they really should have been.

    For other events, Intrade’s predictions have proven surprisingly accurate. The following is a quote from The New York Times article:

    “In 2004, President Bush won every state in which Intrade’s contracts—as of the night before Election Day—gave him a better than 50 percent chance of winning. He lost every state where the traders thought Mr. Kerry was the favorite. Late on election night in 2006, while the talking heads on CNN and MSNBC were still saying that the Republicans would hold onto the Senate, Intrade knew better.”

    Investors should take caution when making bets on Intrade, and not invest too much at this point. If nothing else, Intrade could prove to be a source of entertainment for investors who want to see if they can outsmart the public. For those investors who want the entertainment value without putting up real money, Intrade also offers play money accounts for free.

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    Tuesday, April 8, 2008

    Safe Deposit Boxes: They Aren’t As Safe As You May Think

    Safe deposit boxes, kept in bank vaults behind thick layers of steel, are widely believed to be one of the most secure ways to store valuables. However, people should make certain considerations and be aware of certain misconceptions before placing their valuables in a safe deposit box.

    One major misconception is that valuables placed in a safe deposit box are covered by FDIC insurance. The FDIC only insures bank deposits in FDIC-insured banks, but safe deposit boxes are not considered to be bank deposits and are not covered. In addition, only banks found to be negligent are legally required to cover losses in the event of damage or theft of a safe deposit box’s contents. Some homeowner insurance policies will cover losses, so check with your insurance provider. Bank robberies and major natural disasters happen more in the movies than they do in real life, so these aren’t huge concerns, but safe deposit box holders should understand the limits of their protection.

    An interesting story was published in the BBC today that should be of interest to people who keep their valuables in safe deposit boxes. The story is about a man in India who kept his life’s savings inside a safe deposit box in a bank that developed a termite problem. The bank posted a notice warning customers, but the man did not visit the bank on a regular basis and never saw it. On his next visit to the bank, all he found in his safe deposit box was a pile of termite dust where once there had been money and investment papers. Because the bank posted a notice, and because the safe deposit box itself was not damaged, the bank was not found liable.

    The lessons of this story are 1) Make sure you understand exactly what is and is not covered by the bank when you open the safe deposit box, and 2) Make sure you have insurance to protect whatever is not covered by the bank. If you put your entire life savings in one spot, make sure it is 100 percent safe and secure.

    Safe deposit boxes have their place. Your valuables are certainly much safer in a safe deposit box than they would be in your home, and many insurance companies will charge lower premiums for coverage of certain valuables if they are held in a safe deposit box. If you are storing investments such as gold or other precious metals, a safe deposit box will probably be your best bet. However, it is important that people understand exactly what they are getting with a safe deposit box, so they do not enter the arrangement with any preconceived notions. If you want to make sure your valuables are protected, ask questions and then get additional insurance if necessary.

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    Friday, April 4, 2008

    Corn Prices Surpass $6 A Bushel: Investors, Grab Your Overalls

    Corn prices have jumped dramatically during the past few months, hitting a record high of more than $6 a bushel. Demand for corn has increased, and the outlook concerning whether future supply can meet this demand is uncertain. This news is great for agricultural farmers, at least agricultural farmers, but it will have several negative repercussions for just about everyone else. Corn and corn-based additives—such as corn starch and corn syrup—are used in many foods and in animal feed for pigs and cattle. An increase in corn prices is one of the driving forces behind the price increases of numerous other foods.

    The use of corn in ethanol production is also driving up the price of corn. The government recently passed legislation calling for more ethanol production, which could result in even higher corn prices. I wrote about the validity of ethanol as a long-term alternative fuel source in a previous post, and you may want to read it for more insight.

    The harsh weather in the Corn Belt region is also having an impact on corn prices, but this phenomenon may only affect this year’s crop. A bigger issue could be the amount of land being dedicated to corn production. This year there is expected to be around an 8 percent drop in the amount of farmland planted for corn according to a recent AP article. You may recall that last year, farmers increased the amount of farmland planted for corn quite dramatically in response to the then-record $4 a bushel price. When time comes to plant crops for next year, we can probably expect to see a similar increase, which should eventually help regulate the price a bit.

    One thing to keep in mind is that there is only so much farmland, and if farmers choose to plant corn on that land it means they are doing so at the expense of some other type of crop. The last time farmers went to corn en masse, wheat and soybeans saw tremendous gains--maybe this will be an area of opportunity for investors once again in the future.

    Investors who want to investigate the potential opportunities available with farmland investment, and see how they might profit from the rise of corn prices, should read our article: Farmland Investment.

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    Thursday, April 3, 2008

    Thailand Medical Tourism

    Thailand’s medical tourism industry is one of the strongest in the world, so why didn’t it make the cut for NuWire’s recently published list of the Top 5 Medical Tourism Destinations? We received an e-mail from a reader asking why Thailand was not included on our Top 5, which was a valid question. Here is some background on Thailand’s medical tourism industry:.

    The main medical tourism hospital in Thailand is Bumrungrad International Hospital in Bangkok. The hospital is state-of-the-art, equipped with top-of-the-line technology and a well-trained staff. According to Bumrungrad’s website, more than 200 of their doctors are U.S. board certified. The only difference between the care patients receive there and the care they receive in the U.S. is that it is much cheaper in Thailand. Bumrungrad serves more than 400,000 international patients annually. It is one of the biggest medical tourism hospitals in the world.

    As a medical tourism destination, Thailand indisputably ranks as one of the top countries in the world, but it did not make our list because we were also considering each country’s investment potential. Thailand has been a great place for investors for years, but recent political turmoil there has been cause for worry. The military ousted the former prime minister and the new prime minister is friendly with him, so another military coup seems possible. If Thailand can prove its long-term stability, it could once again be a great place for investment as well as medical tourism.

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    Wednesday, April 2, 2008

    Investment Opportunities From “The Tourism Time Bomb”

    International tourism is ready to explode with investment opportunities, according to an article published in the Harvard Business Review titled “The Tourism Time Bomb.” The writers--Paul F. Nunes, a research fellow at the Accenture Institute, and Mark Spelman, global managing director of Accenture’s strategy practice--state that international tourism is growing exponentially, and that this growth will soon lead to dramatic changes in major tourism destinations as well other locations which are likely to benefit from the resulting overflow

    The following are important excerpts from the article:

    “According to the United Nations World Tourism Organization, international tourist visits are expected to double soon, from roughly 800 million in 2008 to 1.6 billion by 2020.”

    “First, most tourism-related prices, such as hotel room rates in popular cities, will continue to escalate as demand outstrips supply.”

    “Second, rationing, and the resulting waiting lists, will become commonplace. Some groups, for example, are already calling for limits on traffic to ecologically sensitive destinations, such as the Incan ruins at Peru's Machu Picchu.”

    “Finally, jaw-dropping prices and decades-long waiting lists will prompt the creation and the expansion of destinations in both developed and developing economies. The Chinese, for example, are developing Hawaii-like Hainan island and Macao, a gaming paradise on China's southern coast.”

    “Companies and governments are also creating facsimiles of popular destinations.” (for an example read The Brink Tank’s post: How Do You Say Rocco In Arabic?)

    “Just as sites and structures can be successfully replicated in new locations, so can institutions. If the swelling ranks of global travelers can't all come to you, you can go to them.”

    “As the scarcity of places grows, many companies will find opportunities to profit by meeting new levels of demand for authentic, and inauthentic, experiences.”

    “A billion or two additional international travelers represent both a massive potential headache and an opportunity for business.”

    Real estate in both urban and suburban areas is one of many investments that may benefit from this explosion. As demand increases, tourism and hospitality businesses should also perform well, and there are many new businesses that could be created to cater to international tourists. An entrepreneur’s imagination is the only limit.

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    Thursday, March 27, 2008

    Global Warming: How Could It Affect Future Real Estate Values?

    Global warming is on the minds of many people after yesterday’s news that a 160 square mile piece of Antarctic iceberg collapsed. According to an AP article, that ice formation had been estimated to be approximately 1,500 years old.

    Most of us have heard evidence for and against the theory that human activity is the cause of global warming. I’m not a scientist, and I won’t debate whether global warming is a natural phase of the earth’s climate or the product of human industry. However, I will discuss how real estate values could potentially be affected if the polar ice caps melt, as some believe is already happening at an unnatural rate.

    In an article in USA Today, scientists at the U.S. Geological Survey estimate that the maximum rise in sea levels would be approximately 215 feet, or 65 meters. This estimate assumes that all of the ice sitting on land in Greenland and Antarctica were to melt. That is the worst-case scenario that they predicted, and they said it would probably take a few thousand years to reach that point. For more details, read the USA Today article.

    I found an interactive map that helps identify the areas that would be impacted. By changing the estimated sea level rise, you can see how the different areas are affected. As most people know, the biggest threat is probably to Manhattan. The area is home to millions of people and it is barely above sea level. It is also the financial center of the country, if not the world.

    In a worst-case scenario, if Manhattan were to go under, millions of people and businesses would need to relocate, and there would be billions--if not trillions--of dollars in losses.

    Here are just a few questions to consider: Would property insurance cover some or all of the losses? If they did cover such losses, how many insurance companies would go under as a result? Would the government come to the rescue, and if so, how much would it cost taxpayers?

    I don’t believe that the worst-case scenario will happen. Many cities across the world would be lost--not just Manhattan--and the world wouldn't just sit back and let that happen. Scientists are already working on ways to combat the effects of global warming.

    But if no action is taken and the sea levels rise, I believe that there will be widespread panic and people will head for high ground. If I were investing with the long term potential effects of the global warming in mind, I would stick to markets and areas that are at least 215 feet above sea level. Even if it will take thousands of years for sea levels to rise that much, people will become extra cautious much earlier on. Real estate values could increase dramatically in these areas as many millions of people are displaced and have to look for new homes.

    I don’t think we will probably have to worry about this sort of chaos (at least stemming from the current global warming threat, but who knows what will happen when we start implementing the counter measures I mentioned earlier) but were it to happen, severe global warming would shatter the markets and send the world into financial turmoil such as never before witnessed. Even though desire for real estate in certain areas will increase, there may not be people who enough people who can afford higher prices, and actual demand probably wouldn’t equal investor expectations. Investors who think the effects of global warming will be felt in their lifetime might want to purchase gold. In times of panic, investors have always been able to count on gold.

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    Tuesday, March 25, 2008

    Housing Market Records Largest Drop In History Of S&P/Case-Shiller Index

    The woes of the U.S. housing market are not news to most people, but how bad is it really? This may put things into perspective: The widely-used Standard Poor’s/Case-Shiller index saw an 11.4 percent drop in January—the largest in the history of the index, which was created in 1987.

    The index has shown 19 consecutive months of falling house prices. Some people may believe that this is the absolute bottom, but this assumption may prove to be premature. If full-fledged recession takes hold in the U.S., as 71 percent of economists believe, then things are going to get much worse before they get better.

    The S&P/Case-Shiller index tracks 20 metropolitan areas as part of its 20 city composite index. Of those 20 MSAs, only Charlotte, North Carolina showed a rise in home prices, but it was only 1.8 percent, which isn’t too exciting. Real estate in Charlotte has held up fairly well during this housing crisis for various reasons. For more background, read our article: Investing in Charlotte Real Estate.

    On a darker note, 10 of the 20 cities tracked by the index showed double digit losses (Washington DC, Minneapolis, Phoenix, San Diego, Los Angeles, Detroit, Tampa, San Francisco, Las Vegas and Miami). In addition, all 20 of the cities tracked, including Charlotte, have shown diminishing growth over the past five months.

    Investors should make sure that they are selecting investment properties very carefully. If you buy cash flow property that is making money from the day that you buy it, your risks are substantially reduced. Knowing how you will make the mortgage payment each month will help immensely in the volatile housing market we have today.

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    Tuesday, March 18, 2008

    International Real Estate Investment: Best Countries For Long Term Investment

    Many investors are now looking overseas for real estate investment opportunities as the era of globalization grows and the problems in the U.S. continue. Choosing the country in which to invest is one of the first steps, and one of the most difficult.

    Investors must first decide what their motivation for the investment is. Is it to make money, or is it a combination of money and personal enjoyment of the property.

    Global Property Guide is a great online resource that helps investors evaluate international real estate investment opportunities. The site calculates average rental yields for various countries and provides information on tax policies and long-term growth prospects. Based on the different investment factors, the site rates each country on a scale of 1 to 5 stars. The following is a list of the locations which have a 5 star rating, and are listed as the best places for long term real estate investment by Global Property Guide:

    1) Buenos Aires, Argentina
    2) Bahamas
    3) Sofia, Bulgaria
    4) Cairo, Egypt
    5) Hagatna, Guam
    6) Bratislava, Slovakia
    7) Montevideo, Uruguay

    Personally, I think that it is a good list, though I don’t know that I agree with the Bahamas’ and Bulgaria’s rankings. The yields in those countries aren’t all that great, and I think that Bulgaria has a serious bubble on their hands. The website offers a great resource for aspiring international real estate investors to start their search, but it should not substitute for real due diligence.

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    Monday, March 17, 2008

    St. Patrick’s Day: Green, Irish, Beer And Investments?

    St. Patrick’s Day brings 3 words to my head each year: Green, Irish, and Beer. So in honor of St. Patrick’s Day we are going to take a look at how those 3 words can be looked at in terms of investment.

    We all know that if you don’t wear green on St. Patrick’s Day, you are going to get pinched. In addition we also know that green is the color of money, or at least of the U.S. dollar, and the point of investing after all is to make money. The catch right now is that the greenback is losing so much value that investors are better off keeping their hard earned money in currencies other than the dollar. The Euro has been the alternative of choice for most people, but it is not green…oh well.

    Irish...this one is much tougher to think of in terms of investment, but an Irish pub might be a good investment for the right individual. For more information about opening a bar, read our article: Owning and Operating a Pub or Bar. The food and beverage industry has some of the highest failure rates for new businesses, so it is not an easy thing to do, but the right person with the right motivation and ideas can have great success. The Irish Pub Company, which offers consulting and design services for bar owners, makes the following claim on their website: “In Britain analysis of the sales performance of Irish Pubs reveals that where an existing pub has been converted in to an Irish Pub outlet the total sales turnover has frequently more than tripled.” That is a pretty dramatic improvement, and although the statistics are based on numbers in Britain, Irish Pubs are gaining popularity in the U.S. and this could well be the reason.

    Beer of course is related very closely to the Irish Pub business, but is also possible for investors to invest in beer manufactures or even to start their own brewery business. For a list of the various brewers listed on the NYSE, click here. If you are an aspiring brew master, I wish you the best of luck. Starting a successful new brewery business will not be easy, but nevertheless appears to be a fun venture. To get you started, here is a website with the basics of beer brewing.

    Green, Irish, and Beer are obviously not the 3 words that best express the true meaning of this holiday, but they are representative of what the celebration has become in the U.S. For those who want to know more about the history of St. Patrick’s Day, visit the History Channel’s website where they have a great background on the holiday.

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    Thursday, March 13, 2008

    $1,000 Gold Has Officially Arrived: A Warning From Ron Paul

    It long appeared inevitable, but it has now officially happened: today the price of gold hit the $1,000 mark. Wondering what’s so important about the $1,000 gold price? Well, let's see what Congressman Ron Paul has to say.

    The following excerpts were pulled from an article posted on Lewrockwell.com by Paul (all emphasis mine):

    “Buying gold and holding it is somewhat analogous to converting one’s savings into one hundred dollar bills and hiding them under the mattress–yet not exactly the same. Both gold and dollars are considered money, and holding money does not qualify as an investment. There’s a big difference between the two however, since by holding paper money one loses purchasing power. The purchasing power of commodity money, e.g., gold, however, goes up if the government devalues the circulating fiat currency.”

    “Holding gold is protection or insurance against government’s proclivity to debase its currency. The purchasing power of gold goes up not because it’s a so-called good investment; it goes up in value only because the paper currency goes down in value. In our current situation, that means the dollar.”

    A soaring gold price is a vote of ‘no confidence’ in the central bank and the dollar. This certainly was the case in 1979 and 1980. Today, gold prices reflect a growing restlessness with the increasing money supply, our budgetary and trade deficits, our unfunded liabilities, and the inability of Congress and the administration to reign in runaway spending.” (This was written back in 2006, so you can probably add the uneasiness being felt from the credit crisis.)

    Likewise, a fiat monetary system encourages speculation and unsound borrowing. As problems develop, scapegoats are sought and frequently found in foreign nations (hello China). This prompts many to demand altering exchange rates and protectionist measures. The sentiment for this type of solution is growing each day.”

    Congressman Paul then gets in-depth about how the fiat system will inevitably fail, as it has throughout history (which is an interesting truth). If you are interested in knowing the details, read the complete article. It is fairly lengthy, but well worth the time to read, whether or not you agree with his ideas—it will get your mind spinning a bit if nothing else.

    I don’t envision the U.S. moving to a gold standard as Paul suggests, and I’m not sure exactly how I feel about that idea one way or the other. Paul makes an interesting—and extreme—point at the end of the article that I do want to bring up:

    “Economic law dictates reform at some point. But should we wait until the dollar is 1/1,000 (which arrived today) of an ounce of gold or 1/2,000 of an ounce of gold? The longer we wait, the more people suffer and the more difficult reforms become. Runaway inflation inevitably leads to political chaos, something numerous countries have suffered throughout the 20th century. The worst example of course was the German inflation of the 1920s that led to the rise of Hitler. Even the communist takeover of China was associated with runaway inflation brought on by Chinese Nationalists. The time for action is now, and it is up to the American people and the U.S. Congress to demand it.”

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    Wednesday, March 12, 2008

    We Know That Big Banks Are Hurting, But What About Local Banks?

    I think that most people are wary about investing in big banks like Citi-Bank, Bank of America, or JP Morgan at the moment. Even though they appear to be undervalued, who knows what baggage (subprime write-offs) they still have hiding in their closets. It seems that every time they start to rebound and people begin to think that things are turning around for the better, they drop another hammer and the stocks plummet. The yields being offered are appealing, but what if you fear that you might have a heart attack the next time that there is another big adjustment? Are there any banking sector investments out there that might offer something different?

    Interestingly enough, it is possible to invest in your local community banks. Of course, some community banks invested in the same troubled subprime debt that big banks did, but many other local banks have taken a different, very conservative approach. For example, there are several community banks in the Midwest that specialize in lending to farmers (who, by the way, are making money hand over fist right now), and subprime debt isn’t even in their vocabulary.

    These opportunities aren’t available on the stock market—at least not yet—so not only do they potentially offer access to the banking sector, but they also offer a tremendous amount of growth potential. It is not without risk, as small banks can and do fail much more frequently than large banks. However, there is potentially much more opportunity with small banks, and by getting in on a new bank (or niche one) you can avoid many of the mistakes and problems currently plaguing the industry.

    One of our contributing writers recently wrote a “how to” article called, “How to Invest in Community Bank Stock with a Self-Directed IRA.”I recommend reading it if you are interested in learning more about how to do this. As the article title suggests, it is possible to buy this stock inside your self-directed IRA, which can be a nice way to diversify assuming that you have a large enough IRA balance.

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    Tuesday, March 11, 2008

    Pollution Is Now Officially A Sin: What Can We Do To Avoid Going To Hell?

    According to a recent article from Reuters, the Vatican released a list of modern sins, one of which was pollution. I’m really not sure what to say to that other than I guess that it just reinforces the old saying that all of us are sinners. I can’t think of one person in the entire world, let alone the U.S., who isn’t responsible for pollution in one form or another. I’m also not exactly sure how one can avoid polluting altogether, but it is completely possible to pollute less, which is probably what they are trying to suggest with the recent announcement.

    That being said, if investors want to avoid the wrath of God, then there are several ways that they can incorporate a little greenery into their investments. Socially responsible investing is one emerging trend that investors can look to follow. In addition, real estate investors can do things like making their investment properties LEED certified, as well as implementing other low cost green additions.

    Even if investors aren’t worried about going to Hell for polluting, there is still a big reason for them to pay more attention to the environment. Whether or not they are on board with the green movement, an ever growing amount of the population is. As the number of environmentally conscious people grows, so to will the demand for environmentally sound businesses and properties. Investors who are savvy enough to catch onto this stand to make a lot of money. One has to imagine that a decent number of Catholics who were previously uninterested in the environment will now become interested due to this announcement, which will only swell the growing ranks of the environmentally conscious.

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    Monday, February 25, 2008

    As The Price Of Gold Rises, What Is An Oscar Worth?

    With the price of gold sky high right now, how valuable are those Oscars that got passed out yesterday?

    According to The Seattle Times, each Oscar Statuette cost $500 this year, up from $400 last year. In only one year the price jumped $100, or 25 percent! That is pretty amazing, and it goes to show how bad inflation is getting, especially for materials. Each Oscar, according to The Seattle Times, is made from pewter that is plated in successive layers of copper, nickel, silver and gold, and then lacquered and buffed. The price of gold itself has jumped around 40 percent in the last year.

    Those who think that $500 isn’t much to pay for an Oscar might be disappointed to know that they can’t be bought. There are strict rules forbidding their sales, and Oscar winners sign contracts guaranteeing that they won’t sell their own award. If they were to break that contract, they would probably fetch more than $500 on the black market, but instead of investing in Oscars, one might want to consider the materials that make up an Oscar.

    Even though it seems that silver and gold are at ridiculous highs right now, I think there is more room to grow. Considering the rate at which the Fed is inflating the monetary supply, gold and silver are practically a must for investors right now.

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    Ever Dream Of Being Part Of An Oscar Winning Film?

    Watching the Oscars, one can’t help dreaming about being involved in the film industry. Unfortunately for most of us, we have little to no acting ability and no chance of ever getting a role in a feature film. But there is still one way to get your name up on the big screen, investing in films. Aspiring independent (also known as indie) film directors are always on the look out for investors.

    It may not be the best investment out there in terms of returns, but investing in films brings something more than just monetary reward. If one has dreamed about having one’s name on the big screen and has money to gamble, then why not? The odds are still better than Vegas, and even if the film is a bust one will always be able to see one’s name in the credits of a real movie (assuming the film gets completed of course).

    There are surprisingly a lot of opportunities out there to invest in indie films, and many different ways to do so. Last week, NuWire published an article about investing in indie films, and if you have always had the dream of being part of a feature film, and maybe even an Oscar winning one at that, it is certainly worth reading.

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    Thursday, February 21, 2008

    What Is Stagflation?

    There is a lot of talk going around about stagflation, but many people have no idea what stagflation is. The term has only been around for about 40 years and is not used all that much, but suddenly it is being thrown around everywhere.

    Stagflation is a blend of the words stagnation and inflation. It is used to describe an economy which is stagnating (or not growing) while also facing high inflation.

    Typically, the Fed deals with economic stagnation by lowering key interest rates or adding to the money supply. These actions usually work to get the economy growing again.

    On the flipside, when an economy is booming and people are making money left and right, inflation begins to rise. When this happens, the Fed typically raises interest rates thus making money harder to get. This slows the economy and inflation with it. So back to Stagflation…

    In a period of stagflation, the Fed doesn’t know what to do. The economy is slow, so they want to lower interest rates and get it moving, but making money easier to get only makes inflation worse. The Fed has to decide what is more important: economic growth or inflation.

    Right now, the U.S. economy is grinding to a halt, and very likely heading into a recession. Unfortunately we are also facing strong inflationary pressure as prices continue to rise (see inflation post). If we aren’t already in a period of stagflation, then it appears that we are headed straight for it. The last time the U.S. dealt with stagflation was in the 1970’s and it was not a fun experience.

    Though the way we run are economy now is different than it was back then, some would argue that our current situation (housing and credit crisis) is far worse then the situation was in the 70’s leading up to that period of stagflation. I don’t know how bad it can get, but something worse than the 15 percent inflation and 9 percent unemployment seen during the past episode of stagflation doesn’t sound the least bit exciting to me. Personally, I will be heavily diversifying into foreign markets and things like gold and silver to protect myself, just in case.

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    Wednesday, February 20, 2008

    The Fed Seems To Be Surprised By Inflation Yet Again

    A report released this morning by the BLS showed an increase in the consumer price index (CPI) of .4 percent for January. The year-over-year CPI grew to 4.3 percent from 4.1 percent the month before (and this is just what is being reported, see a previous inflation post for an alternative view on what the real inflation numbers are). The policies being implemented by the government and the Fed are not favorable to containing inflation, and this news is no surprise to most people in the financial world . Yet somehow these numbers seem to surprise the Fed each month, and then they downplay inflation in order to back up their policies.

    I have to believe that the Fed knew good and well what the consequences were going to be for all of their rate cuts and cash injections, They are simply telling people, ‘Be happy now and don’t worry about the future,’ as they keep sweeping the dirt under the rug. That’s certainly how Greenspan ran the Fed, and it doesn’t seem like Mr. Bernanke is any different, but they can’t just keep passing the broom because the rug is going to run out of room someday.

    As long as the Fed continues with their easy money policies, inflation will continue to get worse and worse and the dollar will continue to decline. Other countries are already taking notice. The U.S.’ enormous debt is being financed by foreigners, namely China and Japan. As their investments continue to lose value, they might have second thoughts about lending, and if the U.S. loses its ability to borrow at low rates, the economy could be in for a shock like nothing seen before in this country. Since the U.S. relies on borrowed funds even to pay on the current debt, the U.S. would have only the two options: defaulting on the debt, or printing more money. Default probably isn’t the first choice, so that leaves printing a lot more money, which would lead to astronomical inflation.

    Financing debt with debt can’t go on forever. It may not be today or tomorrow, or even in the next 20 years, but eventually this thing will have to right itself. I sincerely hope that Bernanke, or even our next Fed chairman, can grow a spine and do what has to be done. It won’t make people happy in the short term, but when they are old and living on their fixed retirement incomes, they will be grateful that the country was able to rein in inflation.

    Ron Paul is one of the few politicians that has acknowledged this problem and been willing to speak up about it. His willingness to do so, however, and how the majority of people have responded to it is evidence that it might be some time—and only after some painful realizations—before people truly embrace this message. I don’t expect it to happen anytime soon though, and will be making my investment decisions with that in mind.

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    Monday, February 18, 2008

    Is The Infinite Banking Concept A Scam?

    Since NuWire wrote an article about the Infinite Banking Concept, we have noticed many inquiries wondering whether or not the Infinite Banking Concept was really a scam. In order to answer these questions, I thought I’d write a blog post on the subject.

    To the question on whether or not the Infinite Banking Concept is a scam, the answer is no. Infinite Banking is just a creative way to use whole life insurance. People have been doing things similar to the Infinite Banking Concept for a long time. They just didn’t know what to call it. The Infinite Banking Concept is a trademarked name created by Nelson Nash (the founder of the Infinite Banking Concept).

    Nash travels and teaches insurance agents about the Infinite Banking Concept so that they can generate more sales. This is how Nash makes his money. Those insurance agents are then able to teach their clients about this new and exciting way to use whole life insurance. This opens up a new sales avenue for these agents to convince potential clients who would otherwise have no interest in buying a whole life insurance policy. Since whole life offers large commissions, that are much larger than term life, this is a great tool to increase revenue for the agents.

    The Infinite Banking Concept is not something you can buy. It just shows you a new way to use something already familiar and should work with any dividend-paying whole life plan. You can use these concepts without signing up for any special plan or paying Nash any money. Those agents who have been trained by Nash are supposed to have a better understanding of the ways to use this strategy. That being said if you are going to open a whole life plan with those hefty commissions for the purpose of utilizing the Infinite Banking Concepts, then you might as well use an agent who can give