Higher Mortgage Rates Impact Market

The National Association of Realtors (NAR) reports that pending home sales dropped in July as mortgage rates began to climb. The 1.3% drop doesn’t have experts worried yet, …

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The National Association of Realtors (NAR) reports that pending home sales dropped in July as mortgage rates began to climb. The 1.3% drop doesn’t have experts worried yet, and overall sales are still higher than years past, but higher mortgage costs combined with higher sales prices are expected to have a greater impact over time. NAR analysts argue that homebuilding is the answer to relieving pressure on supply, particularly in the west, although they predict home sales to continue rising throughout 2013. For more on this continue reading the following article from Property Wire.

Pending home sales in the United States were down in July, with higher mortgage interest rates slowing the market, according to the latest analysis from the National Association of Realtors.

The NAR Pending Homes Sales Index, a forward looking indicator based on contract signings, declined 1.3% to 109.5 in July from 110.9 in June, but is 6.7% above July 2012  Pending sales have stayed above year ago levels for the past 27 months but Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, said there is an uneven pattern around the country.

‘The modest decline in sales is not yet concerning, and contract activity remains elevated, with the South and Midwest showing no measurable slowdown. However, higher mortgage interest rates and rising home prices are impacting monthly contract activity in the high-cost regions of the Northeast and the West,’ he explained.

‘More homes clearly need to be built in the West to relieve price pressure, or the region could soon face pronounced affordability problems,’ he added.

The PHSI in the Northeast fell 6.5% to 81.5 in July but is 3.3% higher than a year ago. In the Midwest the index slipped 1% to 113.2 in July but is 14.5% above July 2012.

 

Pending home sales in the South rose 2.6% to an index of 121.5 in July and are 7.7% than a year ago while the index in the West fell 4.9% in July to 108.6 and is 0.4% below July 2012.

NAR projects existing home sales to increase 10% during 2013, totaling about 5.1 million, and reach approximately 5.2 million next year.

With ongoing supply imbalances, the national median existing home price is expected to grow nearly 11% this year, and moderate to a gain of 5 to 6% in 2014, with rising construction taking some of the pressure off of home prices.

This article was republished with permission from Property Wire.

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