By most measures the U.S. housing market is still in a state of recovery, but reports that new foreclosure numbers are rising may add a darkening cloud to its long-term prospects. New foreclosures may be up 2.26% in February from the previous month, but analysts at the research firm also note that actual repossessions have dropped by 25%. Even so, government officials warn of foreclosure flare-ups and point to many states that have seen rapid ballooning in the number of new foreclosures, with some spiking as much as 300% over the last month. For more on this continue reading the following article from TheStreet.
New foreclosures are up, and that could prove to be a drag on the U.S. housing market.
RealtyTrac.com reports that home foreclosures are up 2.26% from January to February, and the average price to buy a foreclosed home rose 3.84%, to $179,000.
Still, some states are seeing even more significant upticks in foreclosure activity.
Take Oregon, where new rules on judicial foreclosures have taken effect, including measures that mandate mediation between homeowners and lenders. According to The Oregonian, statewide foreclosures are up by 65% from January to February:
Oregon’s seven largest counties collectively reported legal action on 996 properties, according to Gorilla Capital, a Eugene company that buys, redevelops and sells foreclosed homes. Those numbers mostly represent foreclosure cases.
That’s 65% more cases than seen a month earlier. And it rivals the 1,036 out-of-court foreclosure starts recorded in those counties a year earlier, before legal complications sent most foreclosures into the court system.
RealtyTrac points out that while U.S. foreclosures were up in February, home repossessions are actually down 25% year to year. Officials at the Irvine Calif., real estate services provider say the foreclosure bonfire is largely extinguished after five years of historically high activity.
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Not completely, though.
"At a high level, the U.S. foreclosure inferno has been effectively contained and should be reduced to a slow burn in the next two years," says Daren Blomquist, vice president at RealtyTrac. "But dangerous foreclosure flare-ups are still popping up in states where foreclosures have been delayed by a lengthy court process or by new legislation making it more difficult to foreclose outside of the court system. Foreclosure starts have been steadily building in those states over the last several months and likely will end up as bank repossessions or short sales later this year."
Blomquist points to Oregon’s neighbor, Washington, along with other states as examples of heightened foreclosure activity
"These new foreclosure hotspots include states like Washington, where seven straight months of rising foreclosure activity pushed the state’s foreclosure rate to fifth-highest nationwide– the highest it’s ever been in our report– and Maryland, where eight straight months of rising foreclosure activity placed the state’s foreclosure rate among the top 10 nationwide for the first time since July 2010," Blomquist adds.
All told, U.S. foreclosure starts were up in 32 states in February, with some states showing alarmingly high rates. Look at these states’ foreclosure rate growth in February:
New York +139%
New Jersey +70%
On the plus side, the more foreclosures sold off, the more surrounding homes are worth. (Foreclosed homes usually drag down the prices of nearby homes.)
But an increase in foreclosures also signals that the U.S. housing market is not out of the woods yet. Until the inventory of foreclosed homes is largely sold off, there can’t be significant recovery in the nation’s residential housing market.
From what RealtyTrac is reporting, that so-called recovery isn’t as strong as one might think.
This article was republished with permission from TheStreet.