New reports from the National Investment Center for the Seniors Housing & Care Industry and Real Capital Analytics show prices are up for top-tier seniors housing projects. Experts say investors are coming to view these properties as a safe hedge against other, potentially riskier real estate investments and the market is responding. Prices continue to climb in the top 25% of properties as more investors enter the fray, pushing the average value per unit from $101,000 in 2009 to $170,141 in the third quarter of 2011. The market is further stoked by lenders’ unwillingness to finance new projects, leaving what is already built to enjoy even higher prices. For more on this continue reading the following article from National Real Estate Investor.
It could be a good time to sell high-quality seniors housing projects. Prices for the best properties are up. Bidding is competitive. And the pool of potential investors is expanding as seniors housing is increasingly viewed as a defensive real estate play.
“Buyers in the last 10 months have gotten aggressive,” says Mel Gamzon, president at Senior Housing Investment Advisors, a Fort Lauderdale, Fla.-based brokerage and advisory firm. “This is an excellent time for owners to monetize their investment. Values of top projects today have increased compared to two years ago by no less than 20 percent.”
The price jump can be seen in data from a new transactions report compiled by the National Investment Center for the Seniors Housing & Care Industry (NIC) and Real Capital Analytics. In the first quarter of 2008, the upper quartile or top 25 percent of project prices was about $169,000 per unit. That number fell to about $101,000 a unit by the fourth quarter of 2009.
Prices for the properties in the top quartile have increased since then to $170,141 per unit. Further indicating a flight to quality, cap rates have declined with rates on the best properties now averaging about 7.7 percent.
“There’s always demand for top-tier product,” notes Chuck Harry, director of research and analysis at NIC. “Going forward, I expect there to be more competition for class-A type properties.”
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Several factors are driving buyer interest in high-quality seniors housing projects. Flush with cash, the health care REITs have been active buyers of seniors housing properties. In fact, the health care REITs, through June of 2011, had purchased about $22 billion worth of seniors housing real estate.
At the same time, little new product is being built. Lenders remain cautious about making construction loans. Investors are skittish about sinking money into new properties.
Investor pool expands
The seniors housing industry is also attracting more attention from new investors including private equity funds, venture capital companies, pension funds and offshore investors. “There are numerous options for current building owners besides selling to a REIT,” notes Gamzon.
Prudential Real Estate Investors, an institutional investor, recently purchased Woodland Terrace, a rental retirement community in Cary, N.C., for $53 million. The seller was Walton Street Capital and Kisco Senior Living. Kisco was the property manager and had only a small ownership position, according to Allen McMurtry, director at CLW Health Care Services Group, the Tampa-based broker that handled the deal. Kisco will continue to manage the property.
Interestingly, Prudential previously owned the property and sold it to Walton in 2004 for $29 million. Walton added 14 cottage homes to the property and made other improvements.
The 21.6-acre campus is located in the Raleigh-Durham Research Triangle area, an attractive spot for retirees. Woodland Terrace has 176 units, including 24 independent living cottage homes, 80 independent living apartments, 36 assisted living units, and 36 memory care units. The average monthly rent is about $4,400.
The property’s purchase price was about $300,000 per unit, an amount similar to several other recent deals for top tier seniors housing properties.
McMurtry says there were 10 written offers and two rounds of bidding for Woodland Terrace. McMurty’s firm selected a handful of bidders for the final round of offers. Prudential was the highest bidder.
Good Neighbor Care, a facility in Eugene, Ore., for those with memory problems, sold for $240,000 a unit. It was built in 2000 and had a good operating history. “Newer, urban performing properties like this get multiple offers,” notes Grant Kief, president at Senior Living Investment Brokerage, the Glen Ellyn, Ill.-based firm that brokered the sale. Cap rates on high quality assisted living and independent living properties in large metro areas are currently in the low 7 percent range, he adds.
On the flip side, distressed properties aren’t generating a lot of interest from buyers, brokers say. Fewer distressed properties than had originally been expected are coming to market. Banks are slow to force a sale. Potential buyers of distressed buildings know they have their work cut out for them to improve occupancies and upgrade the facilities. “Distressed deals are a whole other world,” McMurtry says.
Though today’s buyers prefer high-quality projects, they aren’t necessarily looking for glitzy ones. A solid performance is the main requirement, Gamzon says. He’s currently marketing a portfolio that’s 96 percent occupied and has an operating margin of 44%. The property itself is targeted at middle income seniors. “It’s a very efficient operating model,” Gamzon says. “Investors want the building with the highest caliber operator at the best possible price point.”
This article was republished with permission from National Real Estate Investor.